报告题目：Modeling and forecasting mosquito abundance and public health risk of West Nile virus infection in Toronto

报 告 人：朱怀平 教授

时  间：2015年10月26号下午16：00

地  点：文理楼254

报告摘要：

West Nile virus is a mosquito-borne flavivirus typically transmitted between birds and mosquitoes, and can also infect humans and other domestic mammals. It has become a public health threat since 1999 in North America. Like other mosquito-borne diseases such as Malaria and Dengue, the transmission and dynamics of the West Nile virus infection can be very complicated due to climate and environmental impact on vector mosquito abundance, seasonal impact on amplification host birds and biting incidences of the vector. In this talk, I will present our research on forecasting mosquito abundance and geographical distribution using both statistical and mathematical models, and investigating the dynamics of the virus infection and spread using transmission models. I will also describe our work on integrating surveillance data, weather and landscape data with our models for weekly real-time forecasting of Culex mosquito abundance and minimum infection rate (MIR), for the purpose of risk assessment of human infection of West Nile virus in Great Toronto Area.

报告人简介：

   朱怀平，加拿大约克大学教授，博导，约克大学并行计算与模拟实验室主任。朱怀平教授长期从事微分方程理论及其应用研究：在微分方程稳定性与分支理论、希尔伯特第十六问题、种群生态学与传染病学动力学、气候变化模拟与影响、蚊虫疾病的实时预报和控制等研究方面取得了一大批有影响的研究成果；在数学及生物数学的国际顶级或高水平期刊上累计发表文章100多篇。解决了著名的希尔伯特第16问题关于幂零图周期重数有限性的问题，在国际著名的微分方程杂志（Journal of Differential Equations）发表了单篇长达112页的论文，是目前这一领域国际最著名专家之一，先后在重要国际会议做特邀报告20余次。作为项目负责人获得加拿大国家创新基金(CFI)，国家工程和自然科学基金会 (NSERC)，加拿大健康研究院（CIHR）、加拿大公共卫生部，安大略省卫生部，安大略省环境部、科技部等资助。曾获加拿大国家创新基金会基础创新奖、安大略省青年科学研究奖等多种奖项。

                        理学院 科技处 国际合作与交流处

2015-10-26